Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 95.820206 109.753321 126.145743 147.168296 173.889641 2.074153e+02 253.849076
2024-10-20 77.817044 95.020371 117.436611 149.906622 197.875247 2.702449e+02 397.679829
2024-10-27 66.823711 84.609892 109.210119 147.644232 210.444240 3.190041e+02 553.176715
2024-11-03 62.207450 81.418230 109.511042 156.772919 242.526789 4.154739e+02 901.400875
2024-11-10 61.132094 82.801892 116.415044 177.805336 303.950386 6.156809e+02 1958.396768
2024-11-17 56.218614 77.589258 111.845765 177.463113 323.015400 7.359726e+02 3305.381878
2024-11-24 51.995889 72.862521 107.226097 175.746418 338.319151 8.643312e+02 5968.610208
2024-12-01 48.099776 68.196345 101.992218 171.561988 346.013149 9.799326e+02 11332.531406
2024-12-08 45.241793 64.919518 98.736509 170.731709 362.509858 1.161288e+03 33872.649125
2024-12-15 42.974023 62.392225 96.483051 171.555250 384.511855 1.419829e+03 518376.613628
2024-12-22 40.134945 58.642398 91.515812 165.279041 382.186799 1.541979e+03 NaN
2024-12-29 39.339151 58.339579 93.028056 174.447116 436.267534 2.256215e+03 NaN
2025-01-05 36.428140 54.309635 87.279291 165.950576 427.676484 2.461022e+03 NaN
2025-01-12 34.920940 52.693457 86.211131 169.317251 469.340754 3.620370e+03 NaN
2025-01-19 33.041527 50.228378 83.098910 166.599421 484.680547 4.695409e+03 NaN
2025-01-26 32.481192 50.119942 84.830486 177.564388 574.845785 1.063805e+04 NaN
2025-02-02 32.900329 51.871414 90.793680 203.055338 787.787889 1.510908e+05 NaN
2025-02-09 31.532835 50.061363 88.596100 202.638076 840.377568 7.590943e+06 NaN
2025-02-16 30.191008 48.200197 86.070538 200.546173 880.822334 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 28.794446 46.137310 82.868756 195.455803 892.563468 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 27.735081 44.677978 80.945344 194.447227 943.214911 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 26.861889 43.534013 79.655678 195.447616 1019.779535 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 25.621050 41.573832 76.221747 187.835752 995.239287 NaN NaN